Northwestern vs Michigan State 11/17/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Northwestern winning 42% of simulations, and Michigan State 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Northwestern commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 52% when they take care of the ball. Michigan State wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Venric Mark is averaging 79 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. Le\'Veon Bell is averaging 123 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (40% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MICHST -6.5
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